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The Target and Task of Poverty Elimination Must be Completed
Wang Jiacheng
2020 is the year that China will complete the building of a moderately prosperous society in all respects and achieve its first Centennial Goal. It is also the year that China will achieve the goal of the country's poverty alleviation in an all-round way. To build a moderately prosperous society in an all-round way, the most arduous and arduous task lies in the countryside, especially in the poor areas. Under the leadership of the Communist Party of China, the people of all ethnic groups in the country will work together to win the battle of poverty alleviation, which is the most important task of building a moderately prosperous society in an all-round way. Firstly, China must ensure that all the poor people in rural areas are lifted out of poverty and all the poor counties are decapitated under the current standards, so as to solve the regional overall poverty; secondly, China must steadily realize that the poor people in rural areas are not worried about food and clothing, and that compulsory education, basic medical care and housing safety are guaranteed; thirdly, China must adhere to the basic strategy of precise poverty alleviation and precise poverty alleviation, reform and innovate the way of poverty alleviation and development, and highlight industrial development. Fourthly, China must strengthen the leadership of the party, consolidate and improve the system, and provide the fundamental guarantee for winning the fight against poverty in an all-round way. It is a solemn commitment made by the Communist Party of China to the people of the whole country to lift all the rural poor out of poverty under the current standard by 2020, which must be realized as scheduled. In 2020, the novel coronavirus pneumonia brought new challenges to tackle poverty and the challenges of "Two no worries and Three Guarantees" for rural poor. China must adhere to the basic strategy of "targeted poverty alleviation", unswervingly follow the path of poverty alleviation and development with Chinese characteristics, focus on targeted efforts, actively and steadily implement policies, and ensure that the poor areas and the poor people, together with the whole country, enter a moderately prosperous society in an all-round way. China should adhere to the mutual promotion of poverty alleviation and development and economic and social development, put the implementation of industrial development in a prominent position, innovate the way of poverty alleviation and development, enhance the endogenous power of poverty alleviation, improve the efficiency of industrial projects, increase the income of the poor, and strive to achieve the goal of helping the poor, helping the poor and not returning to poverty. China should earnestly strengthen and improve the leadership of the party, continue to consolidate the organizational foundation, and strengthen the working mechanism of the overall planning of the Central Committee, the overall responsibility of the province (autonomous region, municipality directly under the central government), and the implementation of the city (prefecture) and county. China should adhere to the institutional construction of the organic unity of the party's leadership, the people's ownership and the rule of law, improve and perfect the system of poverty alleviation and poverty alleviation with Chinese characteristics, put poverty alleviation and poverty alleviation into the track of institutionalization and legalization, pay attention to the docking of the system and the target tasks, pay attention to the effective implementation of the system and constantly improve the implementation capacity. China need to highlight the construction of the system implementation team and establish a sound and efficient system implementation mechanism. China should strengthen the construction of the system of supervision, and strengthen strict management and democratic supervision of the implementation of the system. China should focus on the effective operation and perfect development of the system, promote the system to be more mature and more stereotyped, and provide the fundamental guarantee for winning the battle against poverty in an all-round way.
Views on the Global Impact of Coronavirus Pandemic
Yu Sui
Since the continuous deterioration of the novel coronavirus epidemic in the world, there has been a flood of comments on its possible impact on the world, and there are different opinions. The basic consensus concerning prospects is that the global economy has been hit hard, the world pattern has undergone major changes, the hegemonic position of the United States has been weakened, and Sino-US relations will not return to the past, and China is facing severe challenges. But there is also an obvious tendency to overreact, some even making sensational claims such as the collapse of the global economy, the end of globalization, the inevitable war between the United States and China, and the dangers of China. Here, the author briefly talks about his basic point of view from five aspects. First, the virus epidemic has led to the prominence of various contradictions in international relations, which precisely shows the rationality and urgency of building a community with a shared future for mankind. Second, the negative impact of the virus epidemic on the world economy is incalculable, but it is impossible to destroy the global economic symbiosis system in the form of economic globalization. Third, the United States has suffered a particularly great impact from the virus epidemic, and its national strength has been weakened, but it will not lead to the disintegration of the country and will not fundamentally shake the hegemonic position of the United States in the world for quite a long historical period in the future. Fourth, the United States will try its best to contain China under the pretext of the virus epidemic, which will lead to the most serious retrogression in Sino-US relations since the establishment of diplomatic relations, but it is difficult for the United States to completely decouple from China, and its traditional policy of "containment + contact" towards China will continue to play a role in a new situation. Fifth, after the spread of the virus epidemic, the shape of the world pattern will be adjusted, but the general trend of multipolarization still plays a leading role.
The Impact of COVID-19 on China-U.S. Relations and Its Prospects
Xiao Ding
In December 2019, the novel coronavirus epidemic broke out and rapidly spread into a global epidemic, which had a tremendous impact on the development of the world economy, and may affect the growth and decline of world power, further impact the fragile Sino-US relations, and have an impact on the world pattern. (I) At the critical juncture of dealing with the impact of novel coronavirus's epidemic on the world economy, the United States did not seek cooperation with the international community as it did in 2008 in response to the world financial crisis, but pointed the finger at China, the earliest victim of the epidemic. Exerting pressure on China from the three aspects of public opinion, politics, and law has undermined the atmosphere of international cooperation in the fight against the epidemic, and worsened Sino-US relations, which are already at a crossroads. The first is to use the novel coronavirus epidemic to provoke a war of public opinion against China. The second is that the Trump administration is trying to change its response to the unfavorable situation of the epidemic and "throw the pot" at China. The third is that the US Congress has taken frequent actions to actively prepare for a legal war against China. (II). The struggle between China and the United States in dealing with the novel coronavirus epidemic actually reflects that the United States cannot tolerate the rise of China and clearly opposes the path and development model of the Communist Party of China and socialism with Chinese characteristics, which is in line with the Trump administration's competition strategy for China. The current situation has become increasingly clear that the United States is anxious and worried about the rise of China not only because China's economic output is likely to be on a par with that of the United States in the future, but also involves deep-seated issues such as system, ideology and identity. First of all, the United States does not accept the socialist system with Chinese characteristics under the leadership of the Communist Party of China. Secondly, "American Exceptionalism" makes the United States unwilling to accept the narrative of China's international outlook and still treat Chinese civilization in terms of a hierarchical system of civilization. Third, the United States regards the rise of China as the rise of a "revisionist power" that competes with the United States for hegemony. From the three aspects of system, thought and identity cognition, the American establishment has actually regarded China as a strategic opponent for the future world order, and has deeply worried about the prospect of the liberal world order dominated by the West. This understanding has forged a higher and higher consensus in American society. This understanding will not change fundamentally with the change of political power in the United States, nor will it be greatly changed by the damage caused by the impact of the epidemic. (III). In the near and medium term, the development and prevention and control of the epidemic may have an impact on Sino-US relations and the world order in four aspects. First, the game between China and the United States will become more intense in the short term, and China's rise will bear all-round pressure from the United States for a long time. Second, the epidemic highlights the differences in institutional efficiency between China and the United States and other western countries, and competition between China and the United States may further intensify around the model of international governance and the provision of public goods. Third, epidemic prevention and control may become long-term, which may promote some kind of cutting in the Sino-US manufacturing industry chain and accelerate the emerging process of regionalization of the industry chain. Fourth, the downturn in the world economy caused by the epidemic may cause greater development difficulties for developing countries, but China still has development opportunities in the Asia-Pacific region and the construction of "Belt and Road Initiative." China,finally need to lay a solid foundation for Sino-US relations to return to the normal development track.
Pompeos’ Lies and Deception and Blame Game
Li Chang
Robert Kagan, a senior researcher and Reagan administration official, published an article on the Brookings Institution website on June 17, 2018, entitled "Trump's America doesn't care." Trump's foreign policy policy after his election as president is: the United States as rogue superpower, neither isolationist nor internationalist, neither withdrawing nor in decline, but active, powerful and entirely out for itself. Trump's world is an all-out struggle, there are no relationships based on common values, only deals determined by power. "Trump is not merely neglecting the liberal world order; he is milking it for narrow gain, rapidly destroying the trust and sense of common purpose that have held it together and prevented international chaos for seven decades," Kagan said.
The United States has not had such a president for a long time. After entering the White House in early 2017, Trump applied lies, cunning, deception and other means to US domestic and foreign policies. Power fraud is often one of the strategies for Trump to provoke global trade frictions to a trade war and to bargain to reach an agreement. Trump claims to be a master of this art. Some argue that the frequency, repetition and boldness of Trump's lies reflect not habits, but a deliberate strategy aimed at undermining institutions related to reality. Trump has eroded the credibility of agencies such as the media, intelligence agencies and the U.S. Department of Justice. For their own benefit and regardless of the overall situation, Pompeo have lost their basic rationality and are becoming destructive forces in the cooperation between the international order and all countries. Pompeo's lies and fallacies are increasingly losing the market and even being resisted by allies. The US media defined Pompeo as "one of the worst secretaries of state in the history of the United States." Pompeo and Navarro, who are deceitful and dishonest, have mastered US diplomatic and foreign economic and trade relations, which has seriously damaged the credibility of the United States. History is a mirror. Will the Trump administration continue to stand on the opposite side of the human struggle against novel coronavirus, or will it work with countries and international organizations such as the World Health Organization to defeat novel coronavirus? Should we continue to adhere to unilateralism and protectionism, or strengthen complementary and mutually beneficial economic and trade cooperation with other countries? Historians are bound to leave objective records.
The New Changes in U.S.-EU-Russia Triangular Relations
Wu Zhenglong
In 2019, drastic changes have taken place in the triangular relationship between the United States, Europe and Russia. The contradiction between the United States and Europe has intensified, and the alliance has fallen to its lowest point since World War II; in the case of geopolitical confrontation and economic cooperation, European-Russian relations have shown signs of relaxation; US-Russian relations have continued to deteriorate and confrontation has intensified. The United States adjusts its policy toward Europe and Russia, puts American interests above all relations, and maintains its hegemonic position; the European Union tries to stabilize relations between Europe and the United States, improve relations with Russia, and play a polar role in global affairs; Russia is based in Europe, using "exterior operations" as a strategy to contain and divide the United States and Europe, and seek strategic initiative. The change in the triangular relationship between the United States, Europe and Russia will have a far-reaching impact on the world political pattern. I. Major Adjustment of Triangular Relations between the United States, Europe and Russia Over the past few years, the triangular relations between the United States, Europe and Russia have fluctuated fiercely, promoting the transformation of the three relations from the original close relations between the United States and Europe, and from "isosceles triangles" to "unequilateral triangles" with estranged relations between the United States and Russia. (1) US-European Relations: discord continues and cracks deepen. (2) Euro-Russian Relations: under the circumstances of the coexistence of geopolitical confrontation and economic cooperation, there are signs of relaxation. (3) US-Russian Relations: continuous deterioration and intensification of confrontation. II. The Motivation of the Adjustment of the Rriangular Relationship between the United States, Europe and Russia As an important group of triangular relations in current international politics, there are multiple factors behind the "deformation" of the triangular relations between the United States, Europe and Russia, each with its own calculations. (1) the motivation of the United States: take "America first" as the standard, adjust relations with the European Union, continue to crack down on Russia, and maintain its global hegemonic position. (2) the motivation of the European Union: stabilize relations between Europe and the United States, get rid of over-dependence on the United States, ease tense relations with Russia, increase strategic space for mobility, and play a world-polar role in global affairs. (3) Russia's motivation: while giving tit-for-tat counterattack to US-European economic sanctions and NATO military containment, it uses "exterior operations" as a strategy to contain and divide the United States and Europe, and seek strategic initiative. III. The Influence of the Adjustment of the Triangular Relationship between the United States, Europe and Russia First, the soft power of the United States is damaged. Second, the sense of sovereignty and autonomy of the allies of the United States has increased. Third, it is difficult for the United States to unite with other countries to deal with third countries. Fourth, the interdependence of great powers has reached an unprecedented degree. Fifth, the equalization of relations among great powers is the trend of the times and is irresistible. Sixth, the relations between great powers have entered an era of manipulating and competing to take advantage of contradictions.
Ups and Downs of China-Japan Economic and Trade Relations and How to Build More Steady and Progressive Ties
Li Changjiu
Japan is a close neighbor of China, facing China across the Yellow Sea and the East China Sea, known as "separated by a strip of water". Economic, trade, scientific and technological exchanges between China and Japan have a long history. However, at a time when the world economy, trade and science and technology have entered a rapid development and the world market has expanded, the economic, trade and technological exchanges between China and Japan have decreased sharply or even stagnated for more than 200 years, especially when the Japanese militarists have invaded, plundered and destroyed China for half a century, which has interrupted the process of China's industrialization, made the Chinese people suffer a major disaster, and the Japanese people also suffered from it. Never forget the past as a guide for the future, sum up and learn from historical experiences and lessons, and ensure that Sino-Japanese economic, trade and technological exchanges are stable and far for the benefit of the two countries and the two peoples. In recent years, Chinese and Japanese leaders have said that Sino-Japanese relations should be coordinated and stable, and dignitaries and people of insight of the two countries have also put forward some important suggestions and taken effective measures to achieve this goal. (I) To objectively understand the history of Sino-Japanese relations and draw lessons from them. (II) Properly deal with the American factors in Sino-Japanese relations. (III) The rapid development of economy and trade between China, Japan and the United States and the economic war between Japan and the United States. (IV) Japan's "return" to Asia and strengthening Asian cooperation. Some experts pointed out that the United States has shorted Japan twice, and the number of US troops in Japan has so far reached 47000 to 52000. No matter how the United States emphasizes the US-Japan alliance or pursues the "Indo-Pacific strategy," it aims to strongly curbing Japan's comeback. However, the United States can no longer stop Japan from "returning" to Asia and deepening complementary and mutually beneficial cooperation with China and Japan and jointly promoting the process of Asian economic and trade integration. No force can stop the advent of the "Asian century".
The Germany Emerges from the Uncertain Great Power Competition
Yang Chengxu
Internationally, no matter it was the intensification of competition or the detente between the United States and the Soviet Union (Russia), there is always a great impact on Germany, which lies between the two great powers. In the last century, the Federal Republic of Germany established diplomatic relations with the Soviet Union and Eastern European countries after strengthening relations with the United States and the European Union. In the 1990s, with the gradual decline of the Soviet Union, the Federal Republic of Germany realized the reunification of Germany with the support of the United States, the once hesitant powers of Britain, France and the European Union. After reunification, Prime Minister Kohl was faced with an economic downturn, a sharp rise in unemployment and corporate bankruptcy, and gradually lost the hearts and minds of its people, and finally stepped down in 1993. In 1994, the Union Party and the Liberal Democratic Party formed a coalition government. After the German elections in 1998 and 2002, the Social Democratic Party made a comeback and joined forces with the Green Party to win two consecutive terms of government. From 2005 to 2018, the Union Party and the Social Democratic Party formed a coalition government for three consecutive terms. In the face of great changes in the international situation and the rise of European populists, the German people's confidence in the unity of major parties declined gradually. In the second half of 2018, following the defeat of the CSU election in Bavaria, the CDU suffered another major setback in Hesse. Chancellor Merkel announced that she would give up running for chairman of the CDU in December 2018 and will no longer remain in power after her term ends in 2021. This indicates that the German political situation has entered a new era. At present, the EU is in a lot of difficulties, and the Brexit negotiations need to be resolved at an early date. French President Jean-Claude Macron's grand plan to transform the European Union and the euro zone depends on the support of Germany and the start of negotiations on the plan. Many countries in Europe are still in the shadow of right-wing populism and the political situation is unstable. The rift between the European Union and the Vixgrad bloc (made up of Poland, Hungary, the Czech Republic and Slovakia) is growing, and after the recent Austrian election, the people's Party and the Liberal Party will form a new government with a political tendency to the right. This will further complicate relations between EU countries. What is more important is how to deal with the relationship with the United States. From the perspective of long-term consciousness, Germany can see that there are still common interests in the relationship between the United States and Germany in terms of values, security and economic and trade interests. At present, the relationship between Germany and Germany is in sharp opposition, and the struggle is fierce in all aspects, but Europe still depends on the United States and NATO for security, and Germany and the United States depend on each other in terms of economy and trade, which has not fundamentally changed. Therefore, Germany's policy does not completely run counter to the policy proposition of the United States, but it will never follow in the footsteps of the United States. Germany will strive to maintain the strength of the European Union and maintain its counterbalance to the United States. Although various actions since Trump took office have strained relations between the United States and Europe, room for European countries to seek a balance of power in the great power game are also provided. The new German government will devote itself to strengthening the European Union and seeking the European Union to become an important pole in world politics. In the future, Germany will further develop its relations with Russia and China and resist the pressure of the United States. In international affairs, it has not only played an important role in the nuclear issue of the Middle East and Iran, but also adopted an enterprising attitude on the issue of the Korean Peninsula.
Germany’s Basic Public Service Standard System and Its Experience
Huang Yanfen / Dang Siqi
As we all know, in Germany, governments at all federal, state and local levels have clear responsibilities for basic public services, and strive to achieve the equalization of basic public services. As a developed country, Germany has a wide range of basic public services, and the government encourages social creation while constantly improving its own functions; while implementing the state to provide basic public services, it also emphasizes citizens' participation in social contribution. By introducing some of the main basic public services and social security standards in Germany, this paper understands the basic public services enjoyed by German citizens and gives useful enlightenment to the formulation of the list system of basic public services in China. I. Basic Public Services in Germany Germany's basic public services mainly include six areas: health care, old-age care, unemployment, education, the disabled and the family. II. Inspiration and suggestions German public services cover many areas of life of all citizens, forming a relatively perfect, fair and efficient comprehensive service system. This provides a valuable experience for the construction and development of the list of basic public services in our country. 1. Constructing a "Limited government" and a Democratic and Scientific Management System The rights of the German government are limited, and when making any decision on public services, it must announce and explain its legal basis to the public, fully listen to the views of the public, and be discussed and approved by Parliament before it can be implemented. And Germany has strengthened the pre-awakening education and omni-directional supervision and assessment of public officials, and formed a clean and dutiful system of public officials. In the process of public service, our country should also pay attention to the construction of laws and regulations, the cultivation of public officials' service consciousness and the channels of public participation, so as to realize the transformation from "omnipotent government" to "limited government". A democratic, open and scientific decision-making mechanism also requires the government to respect public opinion, constantly expand citizens' right to know and participate, increase the transparency of decision-making in public affairs, and make people feel that their lives are guaranteed and their rights and interests protected.
2. Forming a Management Mechanism of Pluralistic supply and Democratic Autonomy 3. Adhering to the Concept of People-oriented and Sustainable Service From the above-mentioned areas of German public services, it can be seen that the German government ensures everyone's basic living standards and constantly improves people's living standards, conveying the concept of humanism and the principle of universal benefits. China should learn not only from the principle of inclusive benefits, but also the principle of efficiency and avoid over-dependence on welfare. In the design of the system, we should not only help people in real difficulties, but also create conditions for them to integrate into the society as much as possible. In addition, the German security service for the disabled is also worth learning from in our country.
Impact Assessment of COVID-19 on Taiwan’s Economy
Wang Jianmin
In late January 2020, the novel coronavirus epidemic broke out and continued to spread, which had a significant impact on the global economy. The impact of the epidemic on Taiwan's economy can be divided into two stages. First, it is the stage of the spread of COVID-19 mainly in the mainland (from January 2020 to early March 2020), and the impact on Taiwan's economy is relatively limited; second, it is the stage of global spread (since mid-March 2020), during which the impact on Taiwan's economy has gradually expanded. The impact of the epidemic on Taiwan's economy in the future depends on the development and duration of the global epidemic, among which the epidemic in the United States has a relatively great impact on Taiwan's economy. To study the impact of the epidemic on Taiwan's economy, we cannot simply look at the impact of the epidemic factor on Taiwan's economy. Economic activity is the result of many factors, and the epidemic factor is only the biggest factor at this stage. Terry Gou believes that if Americans are not spending, the impact on the economy will be greater than the impact of the epidemic. Generally speaking, although the epidemic has a great impact on Taiwan's economy, it is an occasional major event and a short-term factor, while the Sino-US economic and trade war has a greater impact on Taiwan's economy and is a long-term and structural factor. The strategic game between China and the United States, the tariff war, the science and technology war, and the resulting changes in the global pattern, as well as the changes in the global industrial chain, supply chain and value chain, have a long-term and structural impact on Taiwan's economy. To study and observe the impact of the epidemic on Taiwan's economy, we should not only look at the changes in Taiwan's economy itself, but also understand the impact of the epidemic on the world economy, the regional economy, and the Chinese mainland economy. Less than two months after the development of the epidemic, Taiwan's major economic indicators have not yet been announced, especially the rapid spread of the recent epidemic has led to rapid changes in the global financial and oil markets. Taiwan's economic situation is changing at any time, and there is a lot of uncertainty. It is not easy to accurately evaluate and judge, but it is a foregone conclusion that economic growth is down and various industries are hit to varying degrees. |
Next:China Strategic Review - 7-8/2020
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