China Strategic Review
China Strategic Review - 7/2019
Release Time:2019-07-12

On Agricultural Diplomacy with Chinese Characteristics in the New Era

Zhang Shuai / Sun Degang

After decades of exploration and practice, agricultural diplomacy with Chinese characteristics is becoming more and more mature, which needs systematic theoretical induction and academic discussion. The proposal of "Belt and Road Initiative" has opened up a broader space for the development of agricultural diplomacy with Chinese characteristics in the new era. The way of agricultural diplomacy with Chinese characteristics has been constantly innovated, the main body has become increasingly diversified, and the mechanism has become more perfect.

I. The Connotation and Characteristics of Agricultural Diplomacy with Chinese Characteristics

First, China's agricultural diplomacy is a kind of developmental diplomacy rather than security diplomacy.

Second, China's agricultural diplomacy aims to improve people's livelihood and improve the level of governance of the target countries.

Third, agricultural diplomacy is the supporting point of China's "big diplomacy" and "big foreign affairs".

II. Belt and Road Initiative and the New opportunity of Agricultural Diplomacy with Chinese Characteristics

First, under the framework of "Belt and Road Initiative", the top-level design of China's agricultural diplomacy is becoming more and more mature.

Second, the development plans of the countries along the Belt and Road are highly in line with China's "Vision and Action for Agricultural Cooperation".

Third, the cooperation plan formulated between China and the regions along the route provides an institutional guarantee for China's agricultural diplomacy.

III. New Challenges Facing Agricultural Diplomacy with Chinese Characteristics under the Background of "Belt and Road Initiative"

First, the capacity of ministries to coordinate and coordinate needs to be strengthened.

Second, the enthusiasm of agricultural enterprises has not been fully mobilized.

Third, the imbalance of agricultural regional cooperation needs to be solved.

IV. The Prospect of Agricultural Diplomacy with Chinese Characteristics

First, the strategic planning of agricultural diplomacy, the risk assessment before the landing of the project, and the performance analysis after the end of the project

Second, it is necessary to clarify the key cooperative countries and ways of "Belt and Road Initiative" in the third line of "West-North-South", so as to form a pattern of agricultural diplomacy linked by sea and land

Third, the feasibility of trilateral agricultural diplomacy under the framework of "Belt and Road Initiative"

Conclusion

Agricultural diplomacy is an important part of the diplomacy with Chinese characteristics in the new era, and it is the "new frontier" of China's diplomatic connotation in the future. President Xi Jinping pointed out at the 2018 Central Foreign Affairs Work Conference that "one of the basic principles of diplomatic thinking with Chinese characteristics in the new era is to adhere to the principle of joint consultation, joint building and sharing to promote the construction of 'Belt and Road Initiative'." The "Belt and Road Initiative" has become one of the core concerns for promoting the diplomacy with Chinese characteristics in an all-round way. Among the many fields involved in "Belt and Road Initiative", agriculture is related to regional stability, national stability and the will of the people. As one of the dominant resources of China's diplomacy, agriculture has always played an important role in China's foreign exchanges, whether it is the exchange of eastern and western civilizations on the ancient Silk Road or the construction of national connectivity from the perspective of "Belt and Road Initiative". At present, promoting agricultural international exchanges has become one of the important contents of building a community with a shared future for humankind, and agricultural diplomacy by means of agricultural cooperation and agricultural assistance is becoming a new trend of diplomatic development.

 

 

Problems, Causes and Countermeasures in the Medium and Long Term Construction of Honest Society in China

Yang Yiyong / Dang Siqi

I. Problems Existing in Social Integrity at Present and in the Future

The critical period of social transformation has put forward higher requirements for good faith, but with the rapid development of economy and society, the problem of lack of good faith which does not match it is becoming more and more serious, which constitutes one of the major social risks. It is embodied in the problem of personal integrity, commercial integrity and government integrity.

(1) Lack of personal integrity

(2) Lack of business integrity

(3) Lack of integrity of the government

II. Analysis of the Causes of the Decline of Social Integrity

The reasons leading to the decline of social integrity are very complex, including the problems of the stage of development, the lack of supervision of honesty and credit, the construction of system and the lack of relevant education and culture. There are not only the problems of weak government work, but also the quality of citizens.

(1) The lag of moral and good faith education and the imperfection of social good faith system

(2) Dislocation of moral construction of good faith and proliferation of utilitarianism

(3) the excessive rendering of the media and the adverse effects of public opinion

III. Countermeasures and Suggestions on Strengthening Social Honesty and Building an Honest Society in the Future

Honesty is not only the cornerstone of effective and normal operation and harmonious development of modern society, but also one of the basic contents of socialist core values. At present, there are some loopholes and unsatisfactory points in the construction of good faith society in our country. In the future, we need to construct a perfect social good faith system, which is based on moral and good faith education and guided by the credibility of open and transparent government affairs. Take the binding force of laws and regulations as the guarantee, take the perfect social good faith file as the basis, multi-pronged approach, comprehensive rectification to build a good faith society.

(1) We should expand the education of honesty and credit and set up the consciousness of honesty and credit.

(2) We should enhance the social credibility of government departments.

(3) We should strengthen the legal restraint mechanism and perfect the social good faith archives.

 

 

Study on Health Loss of Floating Population in China

Huang Yanfen / Fan Xianwei / Han Jinyu

Conclusion and Enlightenment

First, China's rural migrant population still has a "healthy immigration effect", that is, from the perspective of young people who have not taken part in work, the health status of migrant workers from rural areas is better than that of local workers in cities and towns. However, the smaller regression coefficient of the model shows that there is little difference in health status between the two models. The expansion of the study sample to "once floating population and now floating population", this "healthy immigration effect" still exists, that is, the phenomenon of "expanded healthy immigration effect" also exists.

Second, there is a "health loss effect" in the health status of the floating population in China, that is, with the continuous increase of working years, the health status of the floating population will decline more seriously than that of the local residents in cities and towns. As a result, the physical health status of the rural floating population tends to converge or even lower than that of urban local residents.

Third, there is a "homecoming effect" among the rural floating population in China. After the loss of health, some migrants with poor health status are more likely to return to their hometown, and the overall health status of this group of people is lower than that of those who continue to work in cities and towns. It is also lower than those who have been engaged in farming in rural areas.

Based on the above research conclusions, this paper puts forward the following policy recommendations: (1) It is suggested that the health service policy of floating population should be further improved and implemented, and the supply of health service of floating population should be strengthened. We should firmly establish the concept of "great health and great health", incorporate the health and health work of the floating population into the overall plan for economic and social development and the responsibility system for the management of government work objectives, promote the equalization of basic public services, and refer to the standards of the resident population. In the form of financial transfer payment, we can consider the national overall planning of the service management funds of the inter-provincial floating population, the provincial overall planning of the floating population in the province, and the implementation of special funds at different levels in cities, districts and townships. We will implement the transfer of the basic medical insurance relationship of the floating population and the settlement of medical treatment in other places, so that the floating population will continue to receive various basic public health and family planning services in the process of mobility, and at the same time include the floating population in the contract service of family doctors. (2) We will strengthen the health education of floating population and improve the health literacy of floating population. For example, the establishment of health statistics and dynamic monitoring system of floating population to promote the open sharing of data resources. We should make full use of the advantages of modern media, strengthen health education and promotion of the floating population, enhance their health awareness and health literacy, take WeChat, text messages, lectures and consultations as the main forms, and take places of residence and work as the main places. We will vigorously promote and implement the plan of action for health education and promotion of the floating population, and carry out awareness-raising activities for the health promotion of the floating population.

 

 

The New Situation and Development Trend of the World Economy

Jiang Yuechun / Zhang Yuhuan

With the in-depth development of economic globalization, the trend of multipolarization of the international economic pattern has been further strengthened, and the emerging economies and developing countries have risen rapidly and become an important force in promoting world economic growth. The growth rate of advanced economies has slowed, their economic share has declined, and the world economy has shown a trend of "rising in the east and falling in the west".

In recent years, as the world's major economies have gradually entered the path of recovery, emerging economies that have performed well in the past have encountered crises in dealing with the withdrawal of developed countries from quantitative easing and resolving the debt crisis. More importantly, advanced economies such as the United States, Europe and Japan still occupy the high end of the global value chain, and it is difficult for emerging economies to match in high-end industries, and the process of multipolarization of the international economic pattern fluctuates and twists and turns.

Recently, the Trump administration, which advocates "America first", has implemented introverted economic policies such as trade protectionism, which has had a great impact on the existing international political and economic order. This paper will analyze the changing situation, motivation, influence and future trend of the international economic pattern.

I. Current Situation of the World Economy

Generally speaking, there are twists and turns and volatility in the evolution of the international economic pattern in recent years. The trade protection policy of the Trump administration promotes the game between China and the United States to intensify day by day, which has become the most prominent feature of the change of the international economic pattern. The developed economies led by the United States promote the reform of the international economic order, and the voice of emerging economies in the international economic mechanism has also increased. The overall economic strength of advanced economies has declined, but the United States, as the center of the world system, still has an important impact on the economies of peripheral countries.

(1) The trend of multipolarization has slowed down.

(2) Changes in economic order have accelerated.

(3) The game between China and the United States is becoming more and more prominent.

II. Important Background of the Evolution of the World Economy

The new changes and new characteristics in the current world economic situation are closely related to the Trump administration. On the one hand, the Trump administration has changed its policy toward China to promote the escalating game between China and the United States, and on the other hand, the economic policy of the United States has directly impacted the existing international economic pattern, and while strengthening its own economic strength, it has brought risks and challenges to the economies of emerging and developing countries. It has an impact on the existing international economic order and the global economic governance system.

(1) Trump's "New Deal" has brought downward pressure on the world economy and triggered shocks in the international economic pattern.

(2) The continuous withdrawal of the United States from the multilateral system has caused a serious "tear" of the world order.

(3) The Trump administration has changed its policy towards China and promoted the escalating game between China and the United States.

III. Prospects for the Future World Economy

(1) The trend of economic globalization is difficult to change.

(2) Developed countries may continue to dominate the international economic order.

(3) China's position and Development trend in the Global economy

 

 

The Evolution of the Political Situation in the Middle East

Ding Yuanhong

The Middle East region, which connects Europe and Asia, has an important strategic position and is rich in oil resources, which has always been a place for great powers to covet and compete.

In less than 30 years of this century, the credibility of the United States in the Middle East has declined to the extreme as three presidents of the United States tossed back and forth on the Middle East issue and changed their policies. Both enemies and allies question the stability of US policy in the Middle East, while the general public's hatred of the United States and anti-American sentiment continue to rise. In recent years, the major changes in the political situation in the Middle East region are mainly manifested in the following points:

I. The marginalization of the Israeli-Palestinian dispute.

II. The soil that breeds violent terrorism cannot be eliminated.

III. The struggle between Sunni and Shia sects has become the main line of changes in the situation in the Middle East.

IV. The United States, Russia and Europe compete for the Middle East.

 

 

Australia Enters the "Morrison Era"

Guo Chunmei

On May 29, as Morrison was officially sworn in, the attention of Australia's 46th federal election has been settled. Morrison led the Liberal-National Alliance (the Alliance Party) to a "miraculous" victory, allowing the coalition party, which has been plagued by infighting since it came to power, to "accidentally" enter its third term. In the case of Prime Minister Morrison, although re-elected, but actually his era has only just begun.

I. The winning of an impossible victory 

II. The steadiness of the economy is the priority 

III. The arrival of the "Morrison era"

IV. Australia "standing at Crossroads"

Australia's relations with Asian countries, including China, began with economy and trade, but after more than 40 years of development, this relationship is no longer limited to economy and trade. Australia is also a member of Asian countries. It is an important member of the cooperation mechanism in the Asia-Pacific region, but at present, the regional stability and prosperity it maintains and pursues together with regional countries is increasingly disturbed by geopolitics, unilateralism and trade protection.

 

 

Cross-Straits Relations: the Contest Between "Taiwan Independence" and "Anti-independence"

Yin Maoxiang

Since Tsai ing-wen came to power in 2016, she has taken "maintaining the status quo" as the basic position and refused to recognize the core meaning of the "1992 consensus" and "both sides of the strait belong to one China". As a result, cross-strait relations have continued to decline and cross-strait antagonism has increased significantly. 2018 is another important node in the development of cross-strait relations. On the one hand, Taiwan's "nine-in-one" elections are held at the end of the year. In order to reverse the unfavorable situation, the DPP frequently plays the "cross-strait card" and provokes the status quo on both sides of the strait. On the other hand, with the start of the Sino-US trade war, the DPP authorities are willing to act as "chess pieces" of the United States and cooperate with the "Taiwan independence" separatist forces in various forms to constantly create "Taiwan independence" separatist activities. As a result, the separatist activities of "Taiwan independence" on the island in 2018 were more radical and destructive than in previous years. In the face of the complex situation in the Taiwan Strait and the severe risk of "Taiwan independence," the mainland side has firmly grasped the dominance and initiative in the development of cross-strait relations and pushed the work of "opposing independence" and "curbing independence" into a new stage. At the same time, we are committed to providing equal treatment to Taiwan compatriots, continuously enhancing the family well-being of compatriots on both sides of the strait, and ensuring the overall situation of the peaceful development of cross-strait relations.

I. The DPP Tsai ing-wen authorities insist on promoting the "substantive Taiwan independence" line and vigorously promoting "de-Sinicization".

(1) Politically refusing to recognize the "1992 consensus" and laying the foundation for "legal Taiwan independence" through the "hollowing out of the Republic of China"

(2) Legally promoting the amendment of the Referendum Law to remove obstacles to "legal Taiwan independence"

(3) Making every effort to upgrade "de-Sinicization" in the field of culture and education and build Taiwan's national identity

(4) In foreign relations, "pro-US and Japanese anti-China", cooperating with the "India-Pacific strategy" of the United States, and looking for international helpers to win over "Taiwan independence"

(5) Strengthening military combat preparedness and building a "Taiwan independence" guard to reject reunification with force

(6) Strengthening fascist dictatorship and social control on the island, persecuting and suppressing the forces of "opposing independence and promoting reunification"

II. Rampant separatist activities of non-governmental social movement groups and emerging "Taiwan independence" organizations.

In 2018, with the connivance and support of the DPP authorities, a number of "Taiwan independence" organizations and social movement groups on the island launched a number of "Taiwan independence" separatist activities, becoming the main force in promoting "Taiwan independence" in the new period.

(1) Frequent provocative activities in "referendums"

(2) The "Happy Island Alliance" leaps to the vanguard of "Taiwan independence"

(3) The "Taiwan independence" forces are linked up inside and outside the "five independence" forces, and the situation of "confluence of five independence" is obvious.

III. The mainland has adopted a multi-pronged and resolute struggle, and the work of "opposing independence" and promoting reunification has been carried out effectively.

(1) We must strengthen the stand of "opposing independence" and "curbing independence".

(2) We must resolutely fight back against the separatist words and deeds of "Taiwan independence".

(3) We should strengthen military deterrence.

(4) We should launch a diplomatic struggle.

(5) We must adhere to the integration of development and strive for the will of the people.

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