The US Threats Global Supply Chains and Sounds Security Alarms

Yuan Ze

I. We would like to stop the war by accepting the war.

China and the United States are in different positions of the international industrial chain, and the huge driving force of economic globalization has made them the best partners for expanding trade through the exchange of goods and the matching of high and low industries. However, the Trump administration has thrown out the "US trade deficit theory" and fabricated the "compulsory transfer of technology" theory, clamoring for "China's economic aggression" and deliberately provoking a trade war between China and the United States on the grounds of "national security risks." forcefully crack down on the transformation and upgrading of China's manufacturing industry. In essence, it is an attack on the international industrial chain, harming others and harming themselves. Those who do not fight are with us, and those who are bound to fight are with the enemy. This traditional Chinese military maxim points to the causality of the United States in waging a trade war with China: if the enemy wants to fight, we cannot keep it from fighting. Therefore, it is up to the enemy to fight. On July 6, 2018, the Trump administration imposed a 25 per cent tariff on $34 billion of Chinese goods, violating WTO rules and launching the largest tariff war in economic history. China resolutely synchronizes and counteracts by imposing a 25 per cent tariff on US imports of the same size.

II. How can we protect the economy if the chain is broken?  

The Trump administration's massive tariffs on Chinese products are aimed not only at China's industrial trade policies, but also at emerging economies, or at the WTO system and free trade based on rules and multilateralism. Its essence is to harm the fair and just trade in the world and seriously endanger the hegemonism, unilateralism and protectionism of the international economic order.

III. Damage to others causes self-harm.

The complementary dependence of Chinese and American economies is the product of transnational supply chain and value chain. Now, thanks to the Trump administration's wave of protectionist sticks, the huge benefits of bilateral trade no longer exist.

IV. Risks in the international supply chain risk are obvious.

Trump launched a trade war, causing the international supply chain to be artificially disrupted, and a large number of multinational companies face reconnection with the international supply chain and reshaping the relationship between the two sides. However, in the face of various problems, such as cost, quality and administrative examination and approval, it is easier said than done to reconstruct the supply chain, and it is difficult to accomplish it overnight.

V. The technology concerning the core is the emphasis.

The Trump administration's blatant launch of a trade war poses a serious threat to China's rising position in the international supply chain and value chain. Reminiscent of the attempt by the relevant US departments to stop supplying integrated circuit chips to Chinese enterprises at a sensitive time of trade war, it is not difficult to rule out the US presumption of whether enterprises are illegal, with obvious political purposes and timing choices. On the contrary, the nuclear "core" technology is controlled by others, which is actually the Achilles heel of any national strategic industry.

It can be seen that behind the trade hegemonism, there is the intention of the United States to safeguard military, industrial, financial, scientific and technological hegemony.     

Characters and Endeavor Direction of China-Africa Community of Shared Future

Jiang Shixue

Africa is the most concentrated continent of developing countries and an important force in achieving world peace and development. Africa, with 54 countries, is an indispensable and important part in promoting the building of a community with a shared future for mankind. Central Africa has always been a community of shared future. For a long time, no matter how the international situation changes, China and Africa adhere to sincere friendship and equal treatment, and become good friends in the same boat, good partners in weal and woe, and good brothers who care for each other. The traditional friendship between China and Africa has won the hearts of the people and has become a valuable asset of the community with a shared future between China and Africa.

I. The sublimation of China's diplomatic concept

The times are developing and the world is making progress. The diplomatic philosophy of any country should also change accordingly. Since the founding of New China, China's diplomatic concept has been continuously sublimated.

II. Characteristics of a community with a shared future between China and Africa

The community with a shared future between China and Africa has three remarkable characteristics: the traditional friendship is the foundation, the omni-directional cooperation is the core, and the top-level design is the pillar.

(I) traditional friendship is the foundation of a community with a shared future between China and Africa.

(II) Top-level design is the pillar of a community with a shared future for China and Africa.

(III) all-round cooperation is the core of a community with a shared future between China and Africa.

III. The direction of efforts of a community with a shared future between China and Africa

A community with a shared future between China and Africa is not easy to come by. In order to consolidate and consolidate this community and make it have permanent vitality, China and Africa should do the following:

(I) Strengthen the sense of responsibility of both sides in a community with a shared future.

(II) Adhere to the correct concept of benefit and righteousness.

(III) Give full play to the important role of the Forum on China-Africa Cooperation.

(IV) Continue to vigorously promote economic relations.

(V) Vigorously promoting tripartite cooperation.

(VI) It is necessary to vigorously counter the "China threat theory" and the "neo-colonialism theory".

IV. Concluding remarks

Central Africa has always been a community of shared future. For a long time, no matter how the international situation changes, China and Africa adhere to sincere friendship and equal treatment, and become good friends in the same boat, good partners in weal and woe, and good brothers who care for each other. The traditional friendship between China and Africa has won the hearts of the people and has become a valuable asset of the community with a shared future between China and Africa.

Two “Musts” in Sino-US Relations

Yu Sui

If there is something to discuss, there will be no trade war. This is the main theme of the Sino-US joint statement on bilateral economic and trade consultations on 19 May after a difficult struggle between the Chinese side and the United States. This statement is full of wisdom and constructiveness, but it is only a framework after all. Given that Trump is an "unruly spoiler" and that there is a force behind him that holds him back, there will inevitably be new variables in the future.

There is a contradiction between China and the United States, and the main contradiction lies in the United States. China has repeatedly stressed the need to establish a new type of great-power relationship with the United States based on the principle of "no conflict, no confrontation, mutual respect, and win-win cooperation", that is, a high-level strategic cooperative partnership similar to Sino-Russian relations. However, the United States has always changed its tactics to avoid it. The root cause is that the United States strategically does not regard China as a partner, but as a competitor who has to cooperate selectively.

The joint statement on bilateral economic and trade consultations between China and the United States on 19 May can be said to be a landmark signal of win-win situation, reflecting the law of benign interaction to a certain extent. However, the United States often fails to keep its word, and it is highly likely that it will go back on its promises and go back on its promises.

It is expected that after this bilateral economic and trade consultation between China and the United States, there will be further good news. People are also worried that the objective existence of "uncertainty" will not lead to some kind of undesirable repetition. American tradition makes this worry almost the norm. The mission of policy makers and implementers should be to carry forward the "necessity" of "development cooperation" and reduce the "necessity" of "contradictions". This is where the fundamental interests of both China and the United States lie. However, for the troublemakers, the US authorities, it is essentially "inevitable" to curb China's peaceful development by unscrupulous and capricious means.

Trump’s Europe Trip and the US Europe Policy

Ding Yuanhong

Since Trump became president of the United States, as a result of his foreign policy of "giving priority to the United States," the United States and the European Union have been quarrelling, and the dispute has become so fierce that the Group of Seven (G-7) summit broke up in discord in June this year. The NATO summit had to hold an emergency meeting to discuss the dispute between the United States and Europe over military spending.

To be fair and objective, these criticisms and accusations made by the Europeans are not appropriate, nor are they very persuasive, and there are only short-term angry remarks. The reason is:

Kissinger has warned the media that Trump's isolationism is a "romantic fantasy" of people who do not understand diplomacy, because Trump, like other US presidents, has not and will not give up US leadership in the world. It just works differently. It would be more appropriate for Mr Trump to pursue a "nationalist" policy, or even "ultra-nationalism", than "populism" because of his "America first" policy.

As for trade protectionism, it is not unique to Trump diplomacy. In their foreign economic and trade exchanges, the western capitalist powers have always been pursuing the maximization of their own interests as the goal, and have from time to time adopted the means of "protectionism" to safeguard their own interests.

From Trump's words and deeds during his visit to Europe and in connection with his actions on relations with Europe over the past year or so, through the phenomenon, the core of his European policy is to continue to dominate European affairs, but no longer bear the heavy burden of European security in the past, and try to pass it on to European allies such as Germany in order to slow its development and keep the European Union in a subordinate position to the United States.

At present, the three main trends affecting the situation in Europe are the division caused by the ideological trend of anti-integration within the European Union, the dispute between the United States and Europe caused by differences in policy orientation and disputes over economic interests, and the confrontation between the United States and Russia caused by NATO's eastward expansion and Russia's anti-eastward expansion. These three are interrelated and influence each other. Mr Trump's "new deal" on Europe is making the situation in Europe more volatile and becoming an important part of the once-in-a-century upheaval in the world today.

“Changes” and “No Changes” of Mainland’s Taiwan Affairs in the New Era

Yin Maoxiang

Since the 18th CPC National Congress in 2012, General Secretary Xi Jinping has made more than 30 public important speeches on Taiwan work on various occasions, gradually forming the guiding ideology and theoretical system for Taiwan work in the new period. Among them, there is not only the inheritance of the previous mainland policies and policies towards Taiwan, but also reflects the development of Taiwan work under the new historical conditions, and forms the new ideas, new ideas and new paths of the mainland's work on Taiwan in the new period. Under the guidance of Xi Jinping's thought on Taiwan work, the mainland has made great achievements and breakthroughs in promoting cross-strait political exchanges, opposing "independence" and promoting reunification, and exchanges between grass-roots units and young people on both sides of the strait. The economic and social integration between the two sides of the strait has become an irresistible historical trend.

I. The "five no changes" in Taiwan work

(1) adhering to "peaceful reunification and one country, two systems"

(2) emphasizing the principle of "one China" and the "1992 consensus"

(3) resolutely safeguarding state sovereignty and territorial integrity, opposing "independence" and suppressing "independence"

(4) promoting the peaceful development of cross-strait relations and promoting mutual benefit and win-win results

(5) putting people first and strengthening exchanges and cooperation between the two sides of the strait in various fields

II. The "five changes" in Taiwan work

(1) to make it clear that national unity and national rejuvenation complement and integrate with each other

(2) highlight the construction of "family on both sides of the strait" and "spiritual fit"

(3) to promote the integration and development of the two sides of the strait and enhance the understanding of a community with a shared future.

(4) "opposing independence" goes hand in hand with promoting reunification, and "six of them" resolutely suppress "independence"

(5) implementing the new concept of development and advocating national righteousness.

III. Striving for steady progress in Taiwan work

(1) Major breakthroughs have been made in cross-strait political relations.

(2) substantive progress has been made in opposing "independence" and suppressing "independence"

(3) effective promotion of cross-strait integration and development.

(4) the work of "one generation and one line" has achieved initial results.

To borrow a sentence from General Secretary Xi Jinping: "it is impossible to solve many problems in the world in one battle, but as long as we talk about it, there is hope." As far as sincerity is concerned, gold and stone are open. I believe that the Chinese people on both sides of the strait have the wisdom to find the key to solving the problem". Under the guidance of Xi Jinping's important thinking on Taiwan, the two sides of the strait will certainly be able to join hands to round the "Chinese Dream" of the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation.